Tuesday, March 25, 2008

Pennsylvania Delegate Spreads by District

As Pennsylvania's primary creeps closer, more and more people will be making delegate predictions. I would like us to focus on what the key values are for the different districts. Using GreenPapers as my starting point, I calculated the following cut-off points for Candidate X to receive Y net pledged delegates by district in Pennsylvania. I am also using the 85% rule so that if a candidate wins 85% of the popular vote in a Congressional District, they win all the available pledged delegates even if using the formula of the larger remainder, their opponent would have been entitled to one pledged delegate. Any errors of calculation are mine and mine alone.

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