- Clinton got at least one blow-out win that she needs and one solid victory (which could maintain itself as a blow-out), and a decent delegate count pick-up in Ohio.
- Quite a few of my friends and acquaintances will be getting called in the next two or three days to see if they want to do paid GOTV.
- Clinton closed the past three days hard
- The most interesting thing to me in the exit polls about Ohio is the tiny gap that Obama had in Republican voters. Normally he'll win that group 65-30 against Clinton, the CNN exit polls are indicating that he won this group 54:46, so instead of being up a net of 3 points ina group that is 9% of the electorate, he is up a net of less than 1 point. I wonder how much is tactical voting by Republican partisans, how much is 'The Dem Race is interesting and I could vote for her" by Republicans and how much was general economic uncertainty.
- Cleveland coming in as a break even city was surprising
- NAFTA killed Obama in the last three days --- unlikely to happen again
- Clinton looks like she overperformed tonight by not getting crushed in Vermont, and doing well in Ohio
- Obama's early voting operation will probably give him a breakeven to tiny win in Texas
- The delegate math still sucks for Clinton
Tuesday, March 04, 2008
Initial thoughts
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment